7 Mass Transit Trends to Watch in 2024
As we approach 2024, the outlook seems somewhat brighter for the mass transit industry.
But inflationary pressures, workforce challenges, and extreme weather events, to name a few, could jeopardize the progress in making mass transit attractive again.
Here are seven key trends that are likely to affect mass transit in 2024 and beyond.
1. STEERING THROUGH ECONOMIC TURBULENCE
Inflation and decreased ridership threaten to intensify already escalating costs, prompting mass transit organizations to rethink the way they operate.
Forced to do more with less, in 2024, cities will have to evaluate how they can use advanced technologies to make better use of their resources while also improving customer experience.
Artificial intelligence’s ability to process and analyze vast amounts of data has already proven to be an effective way to reduce operational costs. AI can suggest optimal routes, minimizing trip times and fuel consumption. Combined with IoT sensors, AI can also be used to enhance preventive maintenance and avert costly breakdowns—a critical advantage in times of financial constraint.
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2. RETHINKING SUPPLY CHAIN STRATEGIES TO DEAL WITH ECONOMIC PRESSURES
The global supply chain crisis has prompted governments to take action. The Buy American Act in the United States is a prime example. The Act mandates that a significant percentage of parts used in buses, trains, and infrastructure must be manufactured in the United States.
While the aim of this measure was to stimulate the economy, this limitation frequently drives up costs and causes delays in transit projects because it limits the available options, especially when local businesses are already struggling to meet demand.
Faced with these challenges, transit agencies are more likely to diversify their supplier base, even when that means requesting FTA waivers.
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3. WITHSTANDING EXTREME WEATHER RISKS
As extreme weather events become more frequent and severe, governments will be more likely to enforce stricter regulations for vehicle durability and safety.
But regardless of the regulatory framework, companies that innovate in materials and design to develop vehicles capable of adapting to fluctuating weather conditions will position themselves as preferred partners in the industry.
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4. ACCELERATING DECARBONIZATION
The shift toward electrification continues to gain momentum. Electric buses, trams, and high-speed trains are becoming more prevalent as cities around the world aim to reduce emissions and improve air quality.
Nevertheless, the adoption of so-called “bullet trains” could be a challenge in the U.S. where only 5% of the rail network is electrified, compared to over 60% in Europe and Asia. (source).
As America progresses towards modernizing its rail infrastructure, it may have to rely on interim solutions like vehicles powered by hydrogen and biofuels to reduce emissions.
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5. MAKING TRANSPORTATION MORE ATTRACTIVE
To attract riders at pre-pandemic levels, the industry needs to adapt to changing passenger needs.
This includes improving accessibility for all users, including those with disabilities, and accommodating the growing trend of intermodal transport, where clients expect to seamlessly combine various modes of transportation, such as buses, trains, and bikes, in a single convenient app.
These initiatives will drive demand for transport solutions that integrate these two aspects, such as vehicles designed with modular interiors or exteriors for bike racks or special entrances and exits for passengers with disabilities.
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6. PROTECTING WORKERS AND PASSENGERS
Safety is an absolute non-negotiable in this industry, where the consequences of incidents can have far-reaching implications. Therefore, it is essential to use reliable equipment and parts that can withstand even the most demanding conditions.
This also explains why transit agencies are increasingly using IoT sensors and AI to monitor vehicles and infrastructure in real-time, enabling detection of anomalies before they escalate.
Furthermore, cities worldwide are under pressure to install safety barriers along transit platforms, a measure adopted in Paris, London, and Hong Kong. While incidents of passengers falling onto the tracks are relatively rare, commuters’ fear of it happening discourages subway usage, which only intensifies the challenge of low ridership.
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7. TACKLING THE LABOUR SHORTAGES
Workforce challenges have reached a new peak. Exacerbated by factors such as increased retirement and the ripple effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, the scarcity of operators and maintenance personnel is so acute that it’s affecting the availability of services.
Could autonomous trains, robotic systems for infrastructure maintenance, and drone technology for remote inspection be part of the solution? Possibly, but these options will take years to implement. For now, simple yet effective measures like ergonomic designs and mounts to dampen noise and vibrations can significantly enhance vehicle comfort, thereby improving the day-to-day working conditions for operators.
Meanwhile, creating inclusive environments (DEI) will help the transit industry by making more people feel welcome and valued at work, which will attract a wider range of job applicants and keep employees happier and more likely to stay.
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CONCLUSION
The interconnectedness of these seven trends underscores the critical role that the mass transit industry plays in our economies and how smart choices can support environmental sustainability and promote social equity.
Ultimately, it's about creating more connected, sustainable, and equitable communities for all.
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